Expected. It's going to be a tough fight. Greg Sargent (my emphasis):
If you want to get a good sense of what’s really happening in the Wisconsin recall wars, keep an eye on the right wing money that’s now flooding into the races, in a last ditch effort to keep the state senate in Republican hands.
Club for Growth Wisconsin has dumped at least $1.5 million into the recall races, according to the progressive group One Wisconsin Now, which tells me it got the information from its ad tracker.
Even more tellingly, the Club has poured a surprising $400,000 into the battle to recall state senator Alberta Darling, who was once viewed as safe, One Wisconsin Now’s executive director Scot Ross tells me. Ross adds that his media tracker found that the Club sank the money into the race right after a Dem poll found that Darling is getting edged by her Dem recall challenger, Rep. Sandy Pasch.
Darling would be an important win, in that she is "co-chair of the legislative committee that passed Scott Walker’s union-busting proposals" and has the longest run in office of all the recalled senators.
Sargent notes that union money (he doesn't say how much) is also funding the races, but adds that the outside right-wing money is new.
About those recall races, Chris Bowers at Daily Kos has the latest polls. Click to see the table and sources, but the bottom line in the six races is:
Kapanke, Hopper & Olsen are losing to Dems
(by 14 pts, 3 pts & 2 pts respectively)
Darling, Cowles & Harnsdorf are leading Dems
(by 2 pts, 4 pts & 5 pts respectively)
That looks like one strong lead, three tight but winnable races, and two longer shots.
These elections will be held August 9. If you can, vote. If you can't, please help.